Saturday, August 10, 2013

Positive Despite The Negatives, Page 33

Page 1  Search Suspended
Page 2  The Boat
Page 3  About the Nina
Page 4  Dyche Family
Page 5  Evi Nemeth
Page 6  Matt Wootton
Page 7  Kyle Jackson
Page 8  Danielle Wright
Page 9 RCCNZ
Page 10  To the Families
Page 11  What Went Wrong?
Page 12  Last Message From Nina Crew
Page 13  Family of Nina Crew Appeal For Search Funds
Page 14  Family Anxious For Search To Begin
Page 15  RCCNZ Less Than Cooperative in New Nina Search
Page 16  Third Day of Search, Funding Needed
Page 17  New Zealand Responds
Page 18  Equusearch Seeks Satellite Specialist
Page 19  A New Era Of Cooperation
Page 20  Wild Speculation No Help
PAGE 21, Sailboat Washes Up On Beach After Crossing Tasman
Page 22  Nina Fund
Page 23  Nina Makes Prime Time
Page 24  Kyle Jackson, Hiya Mom!
Page 25  U.S. Coast Guard Endangers Lives of Nina 7
Page 26  Equusearch, Nina Families, Ask For Help
Page 27  Apathy From US Officials
Page 28  Families Seek More Funding
Page 29  Standing Up To Uncle Sam
Page 30  Possible New Location of Nina
Page 31  Reason For Hope Rescue After 76 Days At Sea
Page 32  Breaking News Delayed
Page 33 Positive Despite the Negatives
Page 34  Tomnod Saves Lives
Page 35  Holding
Page 36  Tasman Takes Two
Page 37  91 Days Lost At Sea
Page 38  Your Calls Needed

Page 33  Positive despite the negatives

This week there were two pieces of bad news in the Nina sailboat search case.   Still, there is great optimism in the campaign to rescue the seven man crew of the missing yacht, which disappeared in the Tasman Sea on June 4th, 2013.

First, after the advisor to the private search worked weeks to develop a new search model, RCC-NZ turned Equusearch down in their request for a new search.  Equusearch, a non-profit organization which helps find missing people, assembled rocket scientists, the real ones, plus dedicated family and other experts to analyze modeling used to predict where a yacht may drift to over time.  Despite improving the way the computer model is applied, the answer from New Zealand was still the same.  No.

More disappointing was the reaction of the U.S. State Department which elected to side with protocol against the interests of the sailors, 6 of which are U.S. citizens.  There is significant reason to believe the Nina is out there and the crew is alive.  Rational explanations exist about the communications black out.  True life examples exist where sailors have survived catastrophic events at sea in New Zealand waters for over 118 days.  By those numbers, the 7 man crew of the Nina still has time.



"Hi, my name is ___________________ and I am calling to ask Secretary of State John Kerry to support the Nina and bring the seven sailors home."

Every call counts.  Every second call counts again.  Every third call counts three times.  Every fourth call counts four times!

Despite the disappointment there was a new air of hope in the Nina search camp when the various committees finished their daily call just short of 5:50 Friday evening Texas time.  The families representing the sailors announced a new areal search would be wheels up, starting first of light Sunday morning, August 11th, 2013.

Holding hands, praying for the safe return

Backing the sense of hope is a belief the search is narrowing as to the most likely location of the Nina.  Equusearch teams have factored in criteria not considered by search authorities.  As it turns out, several yachts have been abandoned in the Tasman Sea.  They represent as close an approximation of test boats possible.  They may hold the key to where the disabled Nina may have drifted as one can come.  With rare exception, every yacht drifts Northwest.  The drift analysis used by authorities does not take the historical paths for prior yachts into consideration.  In fact, based upon the drift models, you would never know abandoned yachts drift Northwest.

Meanwhile, the Department of State has failed to come through with a promise of a satellite search of selected areas of the Tasman.  The families remain optimistic the State Department will eventually support the families.

Sometimes things happen for a reason.  If the search starting Sunday yields the location of the Nina, rescue will be significantly faster than if the crew aboard the Nina is forced to wait for a satellite to be tasked and results obtained.  Even with results there are bound to be false positives.  Each lead must be checked.  However, if the new search is unproductive, the next best shot may lie in the hands of administrators at the U.S. Department of State to order the satellite search.  Since it takes a long lead time to do so, one can be sure the family members will appreciate the search being ordered quickly.

Kyle Jackson "Hi ya Mom"

Executive Advisor to the TES search, Ralph Baird, says he has a good working relationship with RCC=NZ.  Baird and TES experts, as well as family members of the Nina-crew, have spent many late nights working on models which may predict where the Nina and her crew of seven are today.  Those seven people are Matthew Wootton, Evi Nemeth, Danielle Wright, Kyle Jackson, David Dyche IV, David Dyche and Rosemary Dyche.  One of Evi Nemeth's relatives posed the question on the Friday call:  

"If it were your loved one, wouldn't you do everything you could to find the crew of the Nina?"

Those who are new or following this blog have a role to play.  The cost of this private search is very expensive.  Aircraft will base in one of the New Zealand off-shore islands.  Everything on an island is more expensive, including fuel.  Please consider your investment in the search for the Nina.  You can give by check or credit card/paypal.  All donations are tax deductible to U.S. taxpayer's too!

Common sense suggests if the Nina had failed as she battled wind and waves on June 4th, 2013, there would be evidence.  Yachts sometimes sink without giving up so much as a clue they ever plied the ocean waves.  However, such passages are very rare.  Normally, when a yacht sinks, objects float to the top.  These include life rafts, mooring buoys, life jackets, portions of the hull lined with floatation and a host of other stuff.  

This is especially true when a yacht experiences the kind of catastrophic failure some speculate occurred.  Yet in the case of the Nina, she merely vanished.  Not likely, and for this reason we should all have hope for the Nina and her crew.  We should also all pray for wise decisions from the U.S. State Department.

Texas EquuSearch SV Nina Search Fund

P.O. Box 395

DickinsonTexas 77539

Office: (281) 309-9500

Fax: (281) 534-6719
Toll Free: (877) 270-9500

Or, mail checks directly to:

Texas EquuSearch SV Nina Search Fund

c/o Amegy Bank215 FM 517 Road West

DickinsonTX 77539

Attention: Ms. Alicia White

(281) 337-9390

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